The period between now and year-end marks a historically bullish final stretch of the year for US stocks, particularly just before and after Christmas. The question for investors is whether favorable seasonal factors will be outweighed by economic fundamentals. The momentum toward a year-end rush to stocks seems to only be getting stronger now that … Read more
The numbers: Sales at retailers jumped 1.3% in October, signaling US consumers are still spending plenty of money despite efforts by the Federal Reserve to slow the economy. Retail sales were forecast to rise 1.2% last month, according to economists polled by The Wall Street Journal. That’s the biggest increase in eight months. Receipts rose … Read more
Markets continue to absorb the reverberations from this week’s Federal Reserve policy decision. The S&P 500 SPX has given up a chunk of its latest rally after Chair Jerome Powell suggested it was likely borrowing costs would peak at a higher level than investors had previously thought. The benchmark remains down 22.5% for the year. … Read more
It’s an island off the coast of China, with a land area comparable to Maryland and Delaware combined. Its population is about 1 million higher than that of Florida. Often overlooked in world headlines, Taiwan is grabbing the financial market’s attention as the biggest macro risk of the day, prompting many traders and investors to … Read more
Hopes that the Federal Reserve may be less aggressive in hiking borrowing costs than previously feared have rippled swiftly across markets in the past week. Stocks have rallied as bond yields have dropped. And it has brought the dollar’s rampage to a juddering halt. The dollar index DXY, which hit a 20-year high above 108.5 … Read more
The numbers: A key gauge of US inflation rose a sharp 1% in June, led by higher fuel prices, in a sign that price pressures in the economy are still intense and unlikely to relent quickly. The increase in the so-called personal-consumption price index exceeded Wall Street’s forecast. Economists had predicted a 0.9% advance. A … Read more
Investors reacted as if Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference Wednesday was dovish, but many economists think it was on the hawkish side of the street. Here are some of the key takeaways from Powell’s hour-long discussion with reporters about the state of the economy and central bank policy: Read: Fed jacks up rates to … Read more
Investors reacted as if Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference Wednesday was dovish, but many economists think it was on the hawkish side of the street. Here are some of the key takeaways from Powell’s hour-long discussion with reporters about the state of the economy and central bank policy: Read: Fed jacks up rates to … Read more
The Deuterium Global Dynamic Allocation Fund is what its fund managers like to say is a glass, rather than black, box. It’s built around a macroeconomic model that forecasts a host of economic variables across multiple countries, and then combined with separate models for central bank policy, market valuation and price trends. What the model … Read more
Is it a false dawn in the stock market or is there something real? The S&P 500 has never lost ground over the following year when advancing volume was at least 85% of volume for two out of three days coming off a 52-week low, according to Jason Goepfert, the founder of Sundial Capital Research. … Read more